If I invested $10,000 in U.S. house prices (FHFA HPI) in Jan 2015

It would be worth $21,691 by Aug 2026 — 2.17×, or 6.9% a year.

Data: FHFA HPI® (Purchase-Only, NSA); inflation: BLS CPI-U. Historical illustration, not financial advice; ignores fees, storage and taxes. Details

How to read this example

The official FHFA House Price Index®, Purchase-Only, United States, not seasonally adjusted, monthly. It is a constant-quality repeat-sales index (January 1991 = 100), not a median sale price and not the value of any particular house. It does not include leverage, upkeep, property taxes, insurance, selling costs, or rent. In this example, $10,000 bought 48.1533 index units at the Jan 2015 level of 207.67. At the Aug 2026 level of 450.45, that quantity is worth $21,691. In Jan 2015 dollars, that is about $15,133 (1.51× after inflation).

Start-year stories for U.S. house prices (FHFA HPI):

Frequently asked questions

How much would $10,000 in U.S. house prices (FHFA HPI) in Jan 2015 be worth now?

About $21,691 as of Aug 2026, which is 2.17 times the original amount, or a 116.9% total return (6.9% annualized). That uses the official series cited below and ignores costs and taxes.

What is that in Jan 2015 dollars?

About $15,133, after adjusting with BLS CPI-U. Consumer prices rose 1.43× over the span, so the real multiple is 1.51× (3.6% real CAGR).

What if I had invested $10,000 in January 2000?

About $32,947 as of Aug 2026 (3.29×, 4.6% CAGR), on the same method.

What if I also added $100 a month starting after Jan 2015?

You would have contributed $23,900 in total, and the holding would be worth about $42,155 as of Aug 2026 (1.76× the money put in; money-weighted return 6.8%). Contributions are applied at each later monthly observation.

Is this the same as buying an ETF or a house?

No. This page moves a notional amount with the national FHFA Purchase-Only index. It is not a specific property, a REIT, or a leveraged mortgage.

Sources, formula & caveats

Not financial advice. This is a historical thought experiment, not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Figures use the official FHFA House Price Index® (Purchase-Only, not seasonally adjusted, U.S.). This is a constant-quality index, not the price of any particular house, and it ignores mortgage leverage, maintenance, taxes, insurance, transaction costs, and rental income. A real investment would have returned something different.

units = initial amount ÷ start-month price (or index level) end value = units × latest-month price with monthly contributions: each later month, units += contribution ÷ that month’s price lump-sum CAGR = (end value ÷ initial amount) ^ (1 / years) − 1 inflation-adjusted value = nominal value × (CPI at start ÷ CPI at that month) with contributions, we also report a money-weighted return (XIRR)

Start month is the first observation on or after the date you enter. Years use a 365.25-day convention. Inflation uses BLS CPI-U, all items, not seasonally adjusted.

See also